Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 15/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 · JK Viljandi Tulevik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

FC Levadia Tallinn U192.4

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.8

1X2

51% 20% 29%

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Draw JK Viljandi Tulevik

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWL

JK Viljandi Tulevik 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDDLWL

Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 2–1 JK Viljandi Tulevik (3 last)

JK Viljandi Tulevik1-4FC Levadia Tallinn U19
JK Viljandi Tulevik2-3FC Levadia Tallinn U19
FC Levadia Tallinn U192-5JK Viljandi Tulevik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1580 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1445

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Draw	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model	51%	21%	28%
Market	51%	20%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn U19 (rating 1580 vs 1445).
H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn U19: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	JK Viljandi Tulevik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.4	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.3	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +15’	1.75	4.50	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 2–0–1 JK Viljandi Tulevik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	1-4 HT 0-2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
19/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-3 HT 2-2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
02/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-5 HT 2-2	JK Viljandi Tulevik

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	27	17	3	7	66	34	54
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	28	17	2	9	71	47	53
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	28	15	4	9	74	58	49
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	28	15	3	10	64	63	48
5	FA Tartu Kalev	29	15	2	12	71	52	47
6	Parnu JK Vaprus II	29	13	4	12	83	62	43
7	JK Viljandi Tulevik	28	12	5	11	69	57	41
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	28	10	2	16	41	77	32
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	28	7	5	16	56	71	26
10	Tallinna JK Legion	27	3	2	22	24	98	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Trans Narva II	0-1 L	3-3 D
Johvi FC Phoenix	6-2 W	0-0 D
JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-2 W	2-3 L
Tallinna JK Legion	1-0 W	3-0 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	3-0 W	0-2 L
Parnu JK Vaprus II	3-2 W	2-2 D
FA Tartu Kalev	0-5 L	2-4 L
JK Tallinna Kalev II	4-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Levadia Tallinn U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
06/09	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	6-2	9	4	W
31/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	5-2	4	9	W
24/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
19/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	10	1	W
16/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
09/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
03/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
19/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
12/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-1	6	4	W

JK Viljandi Tulevik

LDDLLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-3	4	10	L
05/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
23/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-3	9	2	D
20/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
08/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-4	2	5	L
01/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
25/07	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
11/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Levadia Tallinn U19 win (51%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 51%, draw 20%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 29%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model expects 4.2 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U19 2.4 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.