Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 19/09, 18:00
Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Trans Narva II
Team pages: JK Tallinna Kalev II · JK Trans Narva II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
JK Tallinna Kalev II1.84
JK Trans Narva II2.04
1X2
JK Tallinna Kalev II
Draw
JK Trans Narva II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
JK Tallinna Kalev II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
JK Trans Narva II
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Tallinna Kalev II
1–1–4
JK Trans Narva II
(6 last)
- JK Trans Narva II5-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
- JK Tallinna Kalev II2-3JK Trans Narva II
- JK Trans Narva II3-1JK Tallinna Kalev II
- JK Trans Narva II1-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
- JK Tallinna Kalev II2-1JK Trans Narva II
- JK Trans Narva II0-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1480 · JK Trans Narva II 1598
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | Draw | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 22% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1480 vs 1598).
- H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1–1–4 JK Trans Narva II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 5-0 HT 2-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
| 22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-3 HT 1-1 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 04/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
| 29/10/23 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
| 06/08/23 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 29/06/23 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 67 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 29 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 52 | 53 |
| 3 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 68 | 66 | 51 |
| 4 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 74 | 59 | 49 |
| 5 | FA Tartu Kalev | 29 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 52 | 47 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 95 | 62 | 46 |
| 7 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 74 | 60 | 44 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 78 | 33 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 75 | 26 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 25 | 111 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Tallinna Kalev II | JK Trans Narva II |
|---|---|---|
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 0-7 L | 4-1 W |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 4-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Tallinna Kalev II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 13 | L |
| 11/09 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/07 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
JK Trans Narva II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Trans Narva II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Trans Narva II win (43%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev II 35%, draw 22%, JK Trans Narva II 43%.
How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model expects 3.88 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev II 1.84 · JK Trans Narva II 2.04), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.