Football · Canada Premier League · 25/07, 00:00

Prediction: HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
HFX Wanderers1.83
Supra du Quebec1.16
1X2
52% 26% 23%
HFX Wanderers Draw Supra du Quebec
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HFX Wanderers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLWLWD
Supra du Quebec 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDWDLLWL
Head-to-head
HFX Wanderers 0–1 Supra du Quebec (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HFX Wanderers 1476 · Supra du Quebec 1477
HFX WanderersDrawSupra du Quebec
Our model52%25%23%
Market51%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HFX WanderersSupra du Quebec
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.61.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 03.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · HFX Wanderers 001 Supra du Quebec

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Canada Premier League
Supra du Quebec2-1
HT 1-1
HFX Wanderers

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forge FC 121011 20731
2 Cavalry FC 12831 23627
3 Atletico Ottawa 13535 192318
4 Vancouver FC 13526 201517
5 HFX Wanderers 14446 182116
6 Inter Toronto 11344 142213
7 Supra du Quebec 11326 152111
8 Pacific FC (CA) 12039 13273

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHFX WanderersSupra du Quebec
Cavalry FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Pacific FC (CA) 2-1 W 1-1 D
Atletico Ottawa 1-3 L 3-1 W
Forge FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Vancouver FC 1-0 W 1-5 L
Inter Toronto 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HFX Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HFX Wanderers

LLDWLLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 00 D
06/07 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-0 2-1 21 W
01/07 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-3 1-3 82 L
26/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
2-1 5-2 102 W
11/06 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 45 L
07/06 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-2 15 L
30/05 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-0 W
23/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
1-1 1-1 54 D
17/05 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-1 55 L
09/05 Forge FC
Canada Championships
0-2 0-4 62 L

Supra du Quebec

LWLDWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-2 1-5 53 L
09/07 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Championships
1-0 3-1 43 W
05/07 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-2 26 L
10/06 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
3-1 3-5 30 L
07/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 D
30/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-0 3-1 83 W
24/05 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 24 D
13/05 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 42 L
09/05 Woodbridge Strikers
Canada Championships
2-1 3-1 82 W
03/05 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 68 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HFX Wanderers win (52%). Probabilities: HFX Wanderers 52%, draw 26%, Supra du Quebec 23%.

How many goals are expected in HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec?

The model expects 2.99 goals (HFX Wanderers 1.83 · Supra du Quebec 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.