Football · Canada Premier League · 08/08, 23:00

Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs Inter Toronto

Team pages: Pacific FC (CA) · Inter Toronto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Pacific FC (CA)1.79

Inter Toronto1.68

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Pacific FC (CA) Draw Inter Toronto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Pacific FC (CA) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Inter Toronto 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pacific FC (CA) 1–1–4 Inter Toronto (6 last)

Pacific FC (CA)0-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto2-2Pacific FC (CA)
Inter Toronto5-1Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)1-3Inter Toronto
Pacific FC (CA)2-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto2-0Pacific FC (CA)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pacific FC (CA) 1392 · Inter Toronto 1429

	Pacific FC (CA)	Draw	Inter Toronto
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inter Toronto: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pacific FC (CA)	Inter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	0.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:33 +1’	2.30	3.40	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 1–1–4 Inter Toronto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Inter Toronto
10/10/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	2-2 HT 0-2	Pacific FC (CA)
24/08/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	5-1 HT 2-1	Pacific FC (CA)
15/06/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-3 HT 1-0	Inter Toronto
11/05/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	2-1 HT 1-1	Inter Toronto
24/10/24 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	2-0 HT 0-0	Pacific FC (CA)

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge FC	14	11	2	1	23	8	35
2	Cavalry FC	15	10	3	2	30	8	33
3	Vancouver FC	15	7	2	6	24	16	23
4	Atletico Ottawa	15	6	3	6	23	28	21
5	Supra du Quebec	14	5	2	7	21	26	17
6	HFX Wanderers	16	4	5	7	20	24	17
7	Inter Toronto	13	3	4	6	15	30	13
8	Pacific FC (CA)	14	0	3	11	16	32	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pacific FC (CA)	Inter Toronto
Supra du Quebec	1-2 L	1-3 L
Atletico Ottawa	2-3 L	1-1 D
HFX Wanderers	1-2 L	1-1 D
Vancouver FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
Cavalry FC	0-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pacific FC (CA) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Pacific FC (CA)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	2-3	8	5	L
06/07	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
15/06	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
07/06	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
24/05	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
17/05	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
10/05	Cavalry FC Canada Championships	0-1	1-3	2	4	L

Inter Toronto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-5	2	2	L
26/07	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
18/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-4	0-4	4	3	L
11/06	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-5	2	3	L
07/06	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L
30/05	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
23/05	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
17/05	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
10/05	CS Saint-Laurent Canada Championships	0-1	0-1	9	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs Inter Toronto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pacific FC (CA) win (40%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 40%, draw 25%, Inter Toronto 35%.

How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs Inter Toronto?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 1.79 · Inter Toronto 1.68), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs Inter Toronto?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.