Prediction: Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
Team pages: Atletico Ottawa · HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers1-3Atletico Ottawa
- Atletico Ottawa1-0HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers0-1Atletico Ottawa
- Atletico Ottawa2-0HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers2-0Atletico Ottawa
- Atletico Ottawa2-2HFX Wanderers
| Atletico Ottawa | Draw | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Ottawa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Ottawa | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Ottawa 4–1–1 HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 17/05/26 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | HFX Wanderers |
| 18/10/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 19/07/25 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | HFX Wanderers |
| 24/05/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 05/04/25 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | HFX Wanderers |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | Vancouver FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Ottawa | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 21 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 13 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Ottawa | HFX Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Inter Toronto | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Cavalry FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: HFX Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Ottawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-3 | 5-3 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 06/07 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Ottawa win (50%). Probabilities: Atletico Ottawa 50%, draw 26%, HFX Wanderers 24%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Atletico Ottawa 1.75 · HFX Wanderers 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.