Prediction: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC
Team pages: Supra du Quebec · Cavalry FC
- Cavalry FC2-1Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec0-1Cavalry FC
| Supra du Quebec | Draw | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 24% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1486 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Supra du Quebec 0–0–2 Cavalry FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Supra du Quebec |
| 03/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | Vancouver FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Ottawa | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 21 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 13 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Supra du Quebec | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Vancouver FC | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Forge FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Inter Toronto | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalry FC win (56%). Probabilities: Supra du Quebec 20%, draw 23%, Cavalry FC 56%.
How many goals are expected in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Supra du Quebec 1.15 · Cavalry FC 2.03), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.