Football · Canada Premier League · 16/08, 18:00

Prediction: Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa

Team pages: Supra du Quebec · Atletico Ottawa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Supra du Quebec1.84
Atletico Ottawa1.71
1X2
40% 25% 35%
Supra du Quebec Draw Atletico Ottawa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Supra du Quebec 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLWLWD
Atletico Ottawa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLDWLW
Head-to-head
Supra du Quebec 1–2 Atletico Ottawa (3 last)
  • Supra du Quebec3-1Atletico Ottawa
  • Atletico Ottawa5-3Supra du Quebec
  • Supra du Quebec0-1Atletico Ottawa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Supra du Quebec 1488 · Atletico Ottawa 1516
Supra du QuebecDrawAtletico Ottawa
Our model41%24%35%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico Ottawa: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Supra du QuebecAtletico Ottawa
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.11.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.13.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.33.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Supra du Quebec 102 Atletico Ottawa

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/07/26
Canada Championships
Supra du Quebec3-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Ottawa
10/06/26
Canada Premier League
Atletico Ottawa5-3
HT 1-3
Supra du Quebec
19/04/26
Canada Premier League
Supra du Quebec0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Ottawa

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forge FC 151122 23935
2 Cavalry FC 161042 31934
3 Vancouver FC 16826 251626
4 Atletico Ottawa 16736 252924
5 Supra du Quebec 15537 222718
6 HFX Wanderers 17458 212617
7 Inter Toronto 14356 163114
8 Pacific FC (CA) 150411 17334

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSupra du QuebecAtletico Ottawa
Cavalry FC 1-1 D 0-3 L
Pacific FC (CA) 2-1 W 3-2 W
HFX Wanderers 3-2 W 2-1 W
Vancouver FC 1-5 L 1-3 L
Inter Toronto 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Supra du Quebec

WDLLWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 55 D
01/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-1 2-1 W
29/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-2 46 L
25/07 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-2 3-2 22 W
18/07 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-2 1-5 53 L
09/07 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Championships
1-0 3-1 43 W
05/07 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-2 26 L
10/06 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
3-1 3-5 30 L
07/06 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 D
30/05 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-0 3-1 83 W

Atletico Ottawa

DLWWLLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-1 2-1 23 W
02/08 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-3 1-3 65 L
26/07 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-0 3-2 65 W
18/07 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 35 D
09/07 Supra du Quebec
Canada Championships
0-1 1-3 33 L
04/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-3 0-3 L
01/07 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
3-0 3-1 22 W
10/06 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
1-3 5-3 70 W
06/06 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
0-2 1-2 34 L
31/05 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 2-2 94 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Supra du Quebec win (40%). Probabilities: Supra du Quebec 40%, draw 25%, Atletico Ottawa 35%.

How many goals are expected in Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Supra du Quebec 1.84 · Atletico Ottawa 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.