Football · Canada Premier League · 15/08, 03:00

Prediction: Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (CA)

Team pages: Vancouver FC · Pacific FC (CA)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Vancouver FC2.32

Pacific FC (CA)1

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Vancouver FC Draw Pacific FC (CA)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Vancouver FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWWW

Pacific FC (CA) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Vancouver FC 2–3–1 Pacific FC (CA) (6 last)

Vancouver FC2-1Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)1-3Vancouver FC
Pacific FC (CA)1-1Vancouver FC
Vancouver FC2-3Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)4-4Vancouver FC
Pacific FC (CA)1-1Vancouver FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vancouver FC 1561 · Pacific FC (CA) 1402

	Vancouver FC	Draw	Pacific FC (CA)
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver FC (rating 1561 vs 1402).
H2H favours Vancouver FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vancouver FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.71 ★
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +3’	1.36	4.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:46	1.39	4.83	6.01
06:11	1.40▲	4.77▼	5.98▼
07:23 +1’	1.40▲	4.71▼	5.96▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver FC 2–3–1 Pacific FC (CA)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/06/26 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Pacific FC (CA)
04/05/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-3 HT 0-1	Vancouver FC
14/09/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-1 HT 0-1	Vancouver FC
11/08/25 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Pacific FC (CA)
28/06/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	4-4 HT 1-0	Vancouver FC
07/05/25 Canada Championships	Pacific FC (CA)	1-1 HT 0-1	Vancouver FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge FC	15	11	2	2	23	9	35
2	Cavalry FC	16	10	4	2	31	9	34
3	Vancouver FC	16	8	2	6	25	16	26
4	Atletico Ottawa	16	7	3	6	25	29	24
5	Supra du Quebec	15	5	3	7	22	27	18
6	HFX Wanderers	17	4	5	8	21	26	17
7	Inter Toronto	14	3	5	6	16	31	14
8	Pacific FC (CA)	15	0	4	11	17	33	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vancouver FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Atletico Ottawa	3-1 W	2-3 L
Cavalry FC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Supra du Quebec	5-1 W	1-2 L
Inter Toronto	4-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vancouver FC

WWLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
02/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	5	W
25/07	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
18/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
13/07	CF Montreal Canada Championships	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
09/07	CF Montreal Canada Championships	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
05/07	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	4-0	4-0	2	3	W
01/07	Forge FC Canada Premier League	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
15/06	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	10	2	W
06/06	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	2-0	2-1	6	4	W

Pacific FC (CA)

LLDDLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
01/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	2-3	8	5	L
06/07	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
15/06	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
07/06	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
24/05	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
17/05	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver FC win (66%). Probabilities: Vancouver FC 66%, draw 20%, Pacific FC (CA) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Vancouver FC 2.32 · Pacific FC (CA) 1), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.