Prediction: Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers
Team pages: Inter Toronto · HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto2-2HFX Wanderers
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- HFX Wanderers1-1Inter Toronto
- HFX Wanderers4-0Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto2-0HFX Wanderers
| Inter Toronto | Draw | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HFX Wanderers (rating 1425 vs 1480).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Toronto | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 1–4–1 HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Inter Toronto |
| 11/04/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 2-2 HT 1-0 | HFX Wanderers |
| 23/10/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 04/10/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 01/09/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 01/06/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 2-0 HT 1-0 | HFX Wanderers |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Atletico Ottawa | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 18 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 14 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Toronto | HFX Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Pacific FC (CA) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Cavalry FC | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Vancouver FC | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HFX Wanderers (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 06/07 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Toronto win (38%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 38%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 35%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Inter Toronto 1.51 · HFX Wanderers 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs HFX Wanderers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.