Football · Canada Premier League · 15/08, 23:00
Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Forge FC
Team pages: Cavalry FC · Forge FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Cavalry FC1.14
Forge FC1.21
1X2
Cavalry FC
Draw
Forge FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cavalry FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Forge FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavalry FC
2–3–1
Forge FC
(6 last)
- Forge FC1-0Cavalry FC
- Forge FC0-0Cavalry FC
- Forge FC0-1Cavalry FC
- Cavalry FC1-1Forge FC
- Cavalry FC4-1Forge FC
- Forge FC1-1Cavalry FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavalry FC 1556 · Forge FC 1549
| Cavalry FC | Draw | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalry FC | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 2–3–1 Forge FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 18/04/26 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 02/11/25 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 11/10/25 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Forge FC |
| 30/08/25 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Forge FC |
| 31/05/25 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Atletico Ottawa | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 18 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 14 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavalry FC | Forge FC |
|---|---|---|
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Inter Toronto | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Vancouver FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| HFX Wanderers | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Forge FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | CS Saint-Laurent Canada Championships |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | CS Saint-Laurent Canada Championships |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Forge FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Forge FC win (37%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 34%, draw 30%, Forge FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Forge FC?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Cavalry FC 1.14 · Forge FC 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Forge FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.