Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec
Team pages: Inter Toronto · Supra du Quebec
See it on the live radar ↗- Supra du Quebec3-1Inter Toronto
| Inter Toronto | Draw | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Supra du Quebec (rating 1437 vs 1483).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Toronto | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 0–0–1 Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | 30 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 27 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 20 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Toronto | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers | 4-3 W | 3-2 W |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Cavalry FC | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Vancouver FC | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Championships |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Toronto win (40%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 40%, draw 25%, Supra du Quebec 36%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Inter Toronto 1.93 · Supra du Quebec 1.83), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.