Football · Canada Premier League · 20/08, 01:00

Prediction: Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC

Team pages: Atletico Ottawa · Vancouver FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Atletico Ottawa1.39

Vancouver FC1.54

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Atletico Ottawa Draw Vancouver FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Ottawa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWLWDW

Vancouver FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Atletico Ottawa 2–2–2 Vancouver FC (6 last)

Vancouver FC3-1Atletico Ottawa
Vancouver FC2-1Atletico Ottawa
Atletico Ottawa1-1Vancouver FC
Atletico Ottawa0-0Vancouver FC
Atletico Ottawa1-0Vancouver FC
Atletico Ottawa1-0Vancouver FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Ottawa 1528 · Vancouver FC 1530

	Atletico Ottawa	Draw	Vancouver FC
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Ottawa	Vancouver FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:27 +12’	2.70	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Ottawa 2–2–2 Vancouver FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	3-1 HT 3-0	Atletico Ottawa
06/06/26 Canada Premier League	Vancouver FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Atletico Ottawa
26/04/26 Canada Premier League	Atletico Ottawa	1-1 HT 0-0	Vancouver FC
12/10/25 Canada Premier League	Atletico Ottawa	0-0 HT 0-0	Vancouver FC
19/09/25 Canada Championships	Atletico Ottawa	1-0 HT 1-0	Vancouver FC
19/09/25 Canada Championships	Atletico Ottawa	1-0 HT 1-0	Vancouver FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	17	11	4	2	33	10	37
2	Forge FC	16	11	2	3	24	11	35
3	Vancouver FC	17	8	3	6	26	17	27
4	Atletico Ottawa	17	8	3	6	27	30	27
5	Supra du Quebec	16	5	3	8	23	29	18
6	HFX Wanderers	18	4	5	9	24	30	17
7	Inter Toronto	15	4	5	6	20	34	17
8	Pacific FC (CA)	16	0	5	11	18	34	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Ottawa	Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec	2-1 W	5-1 W
Pacific FC (CA)	3-2 W	1-1 D
Inter Toronto	1-1 D	4-0 W
Cavalry FC	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Atletico Ottawa

WWLLDWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
12/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Championships	0-2	3-3	7	5	D
08/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
02/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-3	1-3	6	5	L
26/07	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
18/07	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
09/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Championships	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
04/07	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
01/07	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	3-0	3-1	2	2	W
10/06	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-3	5-3	7	0	W

Vancouver FC

WLWLLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
08/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
02/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	5	W
25/07	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
18/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
13/07	CF Montreal Canada Championships	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
09/07	CF Montreal Canada Championships	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
05/07	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	4-0	4-0	2	3	W
01/07	Forge FC Canada Premier League	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
15/06	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver FC win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Ottawa 33%, draw 27%, Vancouver FC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Atletico Ottawa 1.39 · Vancouver FC 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.