Football · Canada Premier League · 23/08, 01:00

Prediction: Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)

Team pages: Forge FC · Pacific FC (CA)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Forge FC2.36

Pacific FC (CA)0.8

1X2

72% 18% 10%

Forge FC Draw Pacific FC (CA)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Forge FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLLW

Pacific FC (CA) 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLDD

Head-to-head

Forge FC 5–1 Pacific FC (CA) (6 last)

Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC
Forge FC4-0Pacific FC (CA)
Forge FC2-0Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC
Pacific FC (CA)0-2Forge FC
Pacific FC (CA)1-0Forge FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forge FC 1579 · Pacific FC (CA) 1408

	Forge FC	Draw	Pacific FC (CA)
Our model	71%	19%	10%
Market	72%	17%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forge FC (rating 1579 vs 1408).
H2H favours Forge FC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forge FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	4.50 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.56 ★
2	7.00 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +14’	1.33	4.50	7.00
13:24 +23’	1.25▼	5.25▲	8.50▲
16:27 +7’	1.25	5.50▲	9.00▲
17:26 +5’	1.27▲	5.25▼	8.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:18	1.29	4.96	7.37
11:13	1.25▼	5.56▲	8.36▲
00:18 +2’	1.26▲	5.56	8.13▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forge FC 5–0–1 Pacific FC (CA)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Forge FC
27/09/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Pacific FC (CA)
19/07/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Pacific FC (CA)
24/05/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-1 HT 0-0	Forge FC
12/04/25 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	0-2 HT 0-1	Forge FC
19/10/24 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-0 HT 1-0	Forge FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge FC	17	12	2	3	27	13	38
2	Cavalry FC	17	11	4	2	33	10	37
3	Atletico Ottawa	18	9	3	6	31	30	30
4	Vancouver FC	18	8	3	7	26	21	27
5	Supra du Quebec	17	5	3	9	25	32	18
6	HFX Wanderers	18	4	5	9	24	30	17
7	Inter Toronto	15	4	5	6	20	34	17
8	Pacific FC (CA)	16	0	5	11	18	34	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forge FC	Pacific FC (CA)
Supra du Quebec	3-2 W	1-2 L
Cavalry FC	1-2 L	0-3 L
Vancouver FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
HFX Wanderers	0-0 D	1-2 L
Inter Toronto	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Forge FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forge FC

WWWWWWDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-2	3-2	5	3	W
15/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
08/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
26/07	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-1	3-1	9	5	W
05/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
01/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-2	3-2	7	2	W
11/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/06	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	3	W
31/05	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Pacific FC (CA)

LDDLLLLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
08/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
01/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-1	2-3	8	5	L
06/07	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
15/06	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
07/06	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
24/05	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forge FC win (72%). Probabilities: Forge FC 72%, draw 18%, Pacific FC (CA) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Forge FC 2.36 · Pacific FC (CA) 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.