Prediction: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
Team pages: Cavalry FC · Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec1-1Cavalry FC
- Cavalry FC2-1Supra du Quebec
- Supra du Quebec0-1Cavalry FC
| Cavalry FC | Draw | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1581 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavalry FC 2–1–0 Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 29/07/26 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Supra du Quebec |
| 03/05/26 Canada Premier League | Supra du Quebec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 13 | 50 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 46 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 26 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 46 | 23 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavalry FC | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|
| Forge FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| HFX Wanderers | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Vancouver FC | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Inter Toronto | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavalry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Supra du Quebec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavalry FC win (60%). Probabilities: Cavalry FC 60%, draw 23%, Supra du Quebec 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Cavalry FC 1.91 · Supra du Quebec 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.