Football · Canada Premier League · 27/09, 20:00
Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)
Team pages: Inter Toronto · Pacific FC (CA)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Inter Toronto1.9
Pacific FC (CA)1.46
1X2
Inter Toronto
Draw
Pacific FC (CA)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Toronto
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Pacific FC (CA)
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Toronto
3–3–0
Pacific FC (CA)
(6 last)
- Inter Toronto3-3Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)1-1Inter Toronto
- Pacific FC (CA)0-1Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto2-2Pacific FC (CA)
- Inter Toronto5-1Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)1-3Inter Toronto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Toronto 1479 · Pacific FC (CA) 1458
| Inter Toronto | Draw | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Inter Toronto: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Toronto | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 3–3–0 Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 08/08/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 17/05/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 10/10/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 24/08/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 15/06/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 13 | 50 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 46 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 26 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 46 | 23 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Toronto | Pacific FC (CA) |
|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers | 1-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Vancouver FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Cavalry FC | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 06/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 16/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Toronto win (46%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 46%, draw 25%, Pacific FC (CA) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Inter Toronto 1.9 · Pacific FC (CA) 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.