Football · Canada Premier League · 04/10, 22:00

Prediction: Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC (CA)

Team pages: Supra du Quebec · Pacific FC (CA)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Supra du Quebec2.07

Pacific FC (CA)1.26

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Supra du Quebec Draw Pacific FC (CA)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Supra du Quebec 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWLLWL

Pacific FC (CA) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDDLDW

Head-to-head

Supra du Quebec 2–1–0 Pacific FC (CA) (3 last)

Pacific FC (CA)1-2Supra du Quebec
Supra du Quebec1-1Pacific FC (CA)
Pacific FC (CA)2-3Supra du Quebec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Supra du Quebec 1480 · Pacific FC (CA) 1482

	Supra du Quebec	Draw	Pacific FC (CA)
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Supra du Quebec: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Supra du Quebec	Pacific FC (CA)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +6’	1.65	3.80	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Supra du Quebec 2–1–0 Pacific FC (CA)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	1-2 HT 1-1	Supra du Quebec
07/06/26 Canada Premier League	Supra du Quebec	1-1 HT 0-1	Pacific FC (CA)
12/04/26 Canada Premier League	Pacific FC (CA)	2-3 HT 0-1	Supra du Quebec

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	23	16	5	2	48	13	53
2	Forge FC	23	14	5	4	35	17	47
3	Atletico Ottawa	24	11	4	9	35	39	37
4	Vancouver FC	25	9	6	10	35	33	33
5	HFX Wanderers	24	7	5	12	35	39	26
6	Supra du Quebec	23	7	4	12	31	44	25
7	Inter Toronto	23	5	9	9	36	53	24
8	Pacific FC (CA)	23	2	8	13	30	47	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Supra du Quebec	Pacific FC (CA)
Cavalry FC	0-6 L	0-1 L
Atletico Ottawa	2-0 W	0-0 D
HFX Wanderers	0-2 L	4-3 W
Vancouver FC	2-3 L	1-1 D
Forge FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Inter Toronto	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pacific FC (CA) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Supra du Quebec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-2	0-6	3	6	L
20/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
07/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	2-2	2-3	7	3	L
29/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
23/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
20/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	2-2	2-3	3	3	L
16/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
09/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
01/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Pacific FC (CA)

LDDLWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	4-3	4-3	5	7	W
20/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
10/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	3-3	3	10	D
05/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
31/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-1	4-3	3	3	W
23/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
15/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
08/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
01/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC (CA)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Supra du Quebec win (55%). Probabilities: Supra du Quebec 55%, draw 23%, Pacific FC (CA) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Supra du Quebec 2.07 · Pacific FC (CA) 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC (CA)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.