Football · Canada Premier League · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Cavalry FC

Team pages: Inter Toronto · Cavalry FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Inter Toronto1.26

Cavalry FC2.39

1X2

18% 21% 61%

Inter Toronto Draw Cavalry FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Toronto 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDWLDL

Cavalry FC 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Inter Toronto 2–1–3 Cavalry FC (6 last)

Cavalry FC5-0Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto1-5Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC1-1Inter Toronto
Cavalry FC4-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto3-1Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC0-1Inter Toronto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Toronto 1448 · Cavalry FC 1631

	Inter Toronto	Draw	Cavalry FC
Our model	18%	20%	62%
Market	17%	22%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1448 vs 1631).
H2H favours Cavalry FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Toronto	Cavalry FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.3	2.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.00

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.02

2 (-1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +4’	5.25	4.00	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 2–1–3 Cavalry FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	5-0 HT 1-0	Inter Toronto
11/06/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-5 HT 0-2	Cavalry FC
25/04/26 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Inter Toronto
26/10/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	4-1 HT 2-1	Inter Toronto
06/09/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	3-1 HT 1-0	Cavalry FC
26/07/25 Canada Premier League	Cavalry FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Toronto

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	23	16	5	2	48	13	53
2	Forge FC	23	14	5	4	35	17	47
3	Atletico Ottawa	24	11	4	9	35	39	37
4	Vancouver FC	25	9	6	10	35	33	33
5	HFX Wanderers	24	7	5	12	35	39	26
6	Supra du Quebec	23	7	4	12	31	44	25
7	Inter Toronto	23	5	9	9	36	53	24
8	Pacific FC (CA)	23	2	8	13	30	47	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Toronto	Cavalry FC
Pacific FC (CA)	3-4 L	1-0 W
Vancouver FC	3-3 D	1-0 W
HFX Wanderers	1-4 L	3-1 W
Forge FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Atletico Ottawa	1-2 L	3-1 W
Supra du Quebec	1-1 D	6-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Toronto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	3-4	3-4	6	7	L
24/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	2	D
20/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-3	1-4	9	6	L
13/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
10/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	3-3	8	10	D
06/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
29/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	8	L
23/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
16/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	3-1	4-3	2	3	W
08/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	7	D

Cavalry FC

WWDWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-0	6-0	5	6	W
19/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
07/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	3-1	2	4	W
29/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
15/08	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
09/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
02/08	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
29/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	2-1	12	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Cavalry FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalry FC win (61%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 18%, draw 21%, Cavalry FC 61%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Cavalry FC?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Inter Toronto 1.26 · Cavalry FC 2.39), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Cavalry FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.