Football · Canada Premier League · 24/09, 04:00

Prediction: Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto

Team pages: Vancouver FC · Inter Toronto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Vancouver FC1.91
Inter Toronto1.31
1X2
50% 25% 25%
Vancouver FC Draw Inter Toronto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Vancouver FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDLLLWLD
Inter Toronto 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWDLDDWL
Head-to-head
Vancouver FC 2–4 Inter Toronto (6 last)
  • Inter Toronto3-1Vancouver FC
  • Vancouver FC4-0Inter Toronto
  • Inter Toronto1-0Vancouver FC
  • Vancouver FC2-1Inter Toronto
  • Inter Toronto4-0Vancouver FC
  • Inter Toronto1-0Vancouver FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vancouver FC 1498 · Inter Toronto 1470
Vancouver FCDrawInter Toronto
Our model50%24%25%
Market50%25%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Inter Toronto: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vancouver FCInter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.81.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 05.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver FC 204 Inter Toronto

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/26
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto3-1
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
05/07/26
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC4-0
HT 4-0
Inter Toronto
19/04/26
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto1-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
22/09/25
Canada Premier League
Vancouver FC2-1
HT 2-1
Inter Toronto
19/07/25
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto4-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
25/05/25
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto1-0
HT 1-0
Vancouver FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cavalry FC 221552 421350
2 Forge FC 221444 341646
3 Atletico Ottawa 231049 343934
4 Vancouver FC 239410 312931
5 HFX Wanderers 237511 353826
6 Supra du Quebec 227411 313825
7 Inter Toronto 21588 304623
8 Pacific FC (CA) 221813 264411

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVancouver FCInter Toronto
Pacific FC (CA) 1-1 D 3-3 D
Supra du Quebec 3-2 W 1-1 D
Cavalry FC 0-1 L 0-5 L
HFX Wanderers 0-1 L 1-4 L
Atletico Ottawa 0-4 L 1-2 L
Forge FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vancouver FC

WWWDLLLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-1 1-1 D
13/09 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-3 83 L
07/09 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
2-2 3-2 13 W
29/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 0-1 43 L
22/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-1 55 L
20/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-4 63 L
15/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 33 D
08/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-0 16 W
02/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
3-0 3-1 35 W
25/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-0 35 W

Inter Toronto

LLDWDLDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
1-3 1-4 96 L
13/09 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 3-1 43 W
10/09 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 3-3 810 D
06/09 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 15 D
29/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-2 38 L
23/08 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 19 D
16/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
3-1 4-3 23 W
08/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 57 D
02/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-1 0-5 22 L
26/07 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-1 1-3 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver FC win (50%). Probabilities: Vancouver FC 50%, draw 25%, Inter Toronto 25%.

How many goals are expected in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Vancouver FC 1.91 · Inter Toronto 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.