Football · Canada Premier League · 07/10, 17:00

Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec

Team pages: Inter Toronto · Supra du Quebec

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Inter Toronto1.81
Supra du Quebec1.88
1X2
36% 24% 39%
Inter Toronto Draw Supra du Quebec
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Toronto 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDDWLDLW
Supra du Quebec 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLDWLLWL
Head-to-head
Inter Toronto 0–1–1 Supra du Quebec (2 last)
  • Inter Toronto1-1Supra du Quebec
  • Supra du Quebec3-1Inter Toronto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Toronto 1489 · Supra du Quebec 1482
Inter TorontoDrawSupra du Quebec
Our model37%23%40%
Market36%25%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter TorontoSupra du Quebec
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 2.31.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 10.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/0/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.72.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.14.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 0–1–1 Supra du Quebec

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/08/26
Canada Premier League
Inter Toronto1-1
HT 1-0
Supra du Quebec
30/05/26
Canada Premier League
Supra du Quebec3-1
HT 0-0
Inter Toronto

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cavalry FC 251654 511953
2 Forge FC 241464 382048
3 Atletico Ottawa 251249 384140
4 Vancouver FC 259610 353333
5 HFX Wanderers 257612 384227
6 Inter Toronto 24699 395427
7 Supra du Quebec 237412 314425
8 Pacific FC (CA) 232813 304714

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter TorontoSupra du Quebec
Cavalry FC 3-1 W 0-6 L
Pacific FC (CA) 3-4 L 2-1 W
Vancouver FC 3-3 D 2-3 L
HFX Wanderers 1-4 L 0-2 L
Forge FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Atletico Ottawa 1-2 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Supra du Quebec (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Toronto

WDLDDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
2-0 3-1 08 W
27/09 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
3-4 3-4 67 L
24/09 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
2-1 3-3 32 D
20/09 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
1-3 1-4 96 L
13/09 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 3-1 43 W
10/09 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
0-1 3-3 810 D
06/09 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 15 D
29/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-2 38 L
23/08 Supra du Quebec
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-1 19 D
16/08 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
3-1 4-3 23 W

Supra du Quebec

WDLLDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-2 0-6 36 L
20/09 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 HFX Wanderers
Canada Premier League
0-2 0-2 11 L
07/09 Vancouver FC
Canada Premier League
2-2 2-3 73 L
29/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
1-0 1-0 27 W
23/08 Inter Toronto
Canada Premier League
0-1 1-1 109 D
20/08 Forge FC
Canada Premier League
2-2 2-3 33 L
16/08 Atletico Ottawa
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-2 65 L
09/08 Cavalry FC
Canada Premier League
0-0 1-1 55 D
01/08 Pacific FC (CA)
Canada Premier League
1-1 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Supra du Quebec win (39%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 36%, draw 24%, Supra du Quebec 39%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Inter Toronto 1.81 · Supra du Quebec 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Supra du Quebec?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.