Football · Canada Premier League · 10/09, 01:30
Prediction: Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)
Team pages: Inter Toronto · Pacific FC (CA)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Inter Toronto1.85
Pacific FC (CA)1.45
1X2
Inter Toronto
Draw
Pacific FC (CA)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Toronto
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Pacific FC (CA)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Toronto
3–2–1
Pacific FC (CA)
(6 last)
- Pacific FC (CA)1-1Inter Toronto
- Pacific FC (CA)0-1Inter Toronto
- Inter Toronto2-2Pacific FC (CA)
- Inter Toronto5-1Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)1-3Inter Toronto
- Pacific FC (CA)2-1Inter Toronto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Toronto 1461 · Pacific FC (CA) 1408
| Inter Toronto | Draw | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Toronto (rating 1461 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Inter Toronto: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Toronto | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Toronto 3–2–1 Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 17/05/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 10/10/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 24/08/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 15/06/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 11/05/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 11 | 43 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 15 | 42 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 22 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 |
| 7 | Inter Toronto | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Toronto | Pacific FC (CA) |
|---|---|---|
| Forge FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| HFX Wanderers | 4-3 W | 4-3 W |
| Vancouver FC | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 16/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Toronto win (46%). Probabilities: Inter Toronto 46%, draw 25%, Pacific FC (CA) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Inter Toronto 1.85 · Pacific FC (CA) 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Toronto vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.