Football · Canada Premier League · 06/09, 01:00

Prediction: Forge FC vs Inter Toronto

Team pages: Forge FC · Inter Toronto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Forge FC2.41

Inter Toronto0.96

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Forge FC Draw Inter Toronto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Forge FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Inter Toronto 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Forge FC 4–2–0 Inter Toronto (6 last)

Inter Toronto1-3Forge FC
Inter Toronto1-4Forge FC
Forge FC3-0Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto1-2Forge FC
Forge FC2-2Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto2-2Forge FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forge FC 1553 · Inter Toronto 1425

	Forge FC	Draw	Inter Toronto
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forge FC (rating 1553 vs 1425).
H2H favours Forge FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forge FC	Inter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	1.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +6’	1.30	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forge FC 4–2–0 Inter Toronto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-3 HT 1-1	Forge FC
07/06/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-4 HT 0-2	Forge FC
18/10/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Inter Toronto
09/08/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-2 HT 1-1	Forge FC
29/06/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Inter Toronto
27/04/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	2-2 HT 2-2	Forge FC

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	19	13	4	2	37	11	43
2	Forge FC	19	13	2	4	29	14	41
3	Atletico Ottawa	20	10	3	7	34	34	33
4	Vancouver FC	20	8	3	9	26	23	27
5	Supra du Quebec	19	6	4	9	27	33	22
6	HFX Wanderers	20	5	5	10	28	34	20
7	Inter Toronto	17	4	6	7	22	37	18
8	Pacific FC (CA)	18	1	5	12	22	39	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forge FC	Inter Toronto
Supra du Quebec	0-1 L	1-1 D
Pacific FC (CA)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Cavalry FC	1-2 L	0-5 L
Vancouver FC	0-1 L	0-4 L
HFX Wanderers	0-0 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Forge FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forge FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
23/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
20/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-2	3-2	5	3	W
15/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
08/08	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
26/07	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	1-1	3-1	9	5	W
05/07	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
01/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-2	3-2	7	2	W
11/06	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Inter Toronto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	8	L
23/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
16/08	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	3-1	4-3	2	3	W
08/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
02/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-1	0-5	2	2	L
26/07	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
18/07	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/07	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	0-4	0-4	4	3	L
11/06	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-5	2	3	L
07/06	Forge FC Canada Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forge FC win (69%). Probabilities: Forge FC 69%, draw 18%, Inter Toronto 13%.

How many goals are expected in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Forge FC 2.41 · Inter Toronto 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.