Prediction: Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC
| Vancouver FC | Draw | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cavalry FC (rating 1499 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Cavalry FC: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver FC 0–4–2 Cavalry FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 18/10/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 18/08/25 Canada Premier League | Cavalry FC | 5-4 HT 3-2 | Vancouver FC |
| 14/07/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cavalry FC |
| 09/07/25 Canada Championships | Cavalry FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vancouver FC |
| 22/05/25 Canada Championships | Vancouver FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cavalry FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
| 7 | Supra du Quebec | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Toronto | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Forge FC | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| HFX Wanderers | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavalry FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | CF Montreal Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/07 | CF Montreal Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Cavalry FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps Canada Championships |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Championships |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cavalry FC win (46%). Probabilities: Vancouver FC 28%, draw 26%, Cavalry FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Vancouver FC 1.43 · Cavalry FC 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.