Football · Canada Premier League · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC (CA)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Atletico Ottawa2.32
Pacific FC (CA)1.08
1X2
Atletico Ottawa
Draw
Pacific FC (CA)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Ottawa
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Pacific FC (CA)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Ottawa
4–2–0
Pacific FC (CA)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Ottawa 1521 · Pacific FC (CA) 1380
| Atletico Ottawa | Draw | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Ottawa (rating 1521 vs 1380).
- H2H favours Atletico Ottawa: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Ottawa | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Ottawa 4–2–0 Pacific FC (CA)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 07/09/25 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 27/07/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 08/06/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Ottawa |
| 03/05/25 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 22/09/24 Canada Premier League | Atletico Ottawa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
Standings · Canada Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
| 7 | Supra du Quebec | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Ottawa | Pacific FC (CA) |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Toronto | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Cavalry FC | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| HFX Wanderers | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Vancouver FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Forge FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Ottawa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Ottawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Supra du Quebec Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-3 | 5-3 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Toronto FC Canada Championships |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Pacific FC (CA)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC (CA)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Ottawa win (64%). Probabilities: Atletico Ottawa 64%, draw 21%, Pacific FC (CA) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Atletico Ottawa 2.32 · Pacific FC (CA) 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.