Prediction: Fortaleza vs Ceara
- Ceara2-1Fortaleza
- Ceara2-0Fortaleza
- Ceara1-1Fortaleza
- Fortaleza1-1Ceara
- Ceara0-0Fortaleza
- Ceara1-1Fortaleza
| Fortaleza | Draw | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ceara: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 1.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 0–4–2 Ceara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Ceara | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza |
| 09/04/26 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Ceara | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 08/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Cearense | Ceara | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza |
| 01/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Cearense | Fortaleza | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 08/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Cearense | Ceara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 07/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 47 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 47 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 43 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 43 |
| 8 | CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 42 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 41 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 39 |
| 11 | Nautico | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 37 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 37 |
| 13 | Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo SP | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 35 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 32 | 31 |
| 16 | Ceara | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 18 | Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 39 | 25 |
| 19 | America MG | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 46 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 56 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Cuiaba | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Vila Nova | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortaleza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
Ceara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Ceara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (48%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 48%, draw 30%, Ceara 21%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Ceara?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Fortaleza 1.3 · Ceara 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Ceara?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.