Football · Brazil Serie B · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Ponte Preta vs CRB

Team pages: Ponte Preta · CRB

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Ponte Preta0.71
CRB2.24
1X2
10% 18% 72%
Ponte Preta Draw CRB
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ponte Preta 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLLLLL
CRB 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWLWWLW
Head-to-head
Ponte Preta 3–1–2 CRB (6 last)
  • CRB4-2Ponte Preta
  • CRB0-1Ponte Preta
  • Ponte Preta4-2CRB
  • Ponte Preta3-0CRB
  • CRB1-0Ponte Preta
  • CRB1-1Ponte Preta
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ponte Preta 1385 · CRB 1564
Ponte PretaDrawCRB
Our model9%19%71%
Market10%17%72%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1385 vs 1564).
  • H2H favours Ponte Preta: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ponte PretaCRB
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 2.71.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.10.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.22.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.43.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponte Preta 312 CRB

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Brazil Serie B
CRB4-2
HT 1-2
Ponte Preta
20/09/24
Brazil Serie B
CRB0-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
02/06/24
Brazil Serie B
Ponte Preta4-2
HT 0-0
CRB
25/11/23
Brazil Serie B
Ponte Preta3-0
HT 1-0
CRB
22/07/23
Brazil Serie B
CRB1-0
HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
05/08/22
Brazil Serie B
CRB1-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vila Nova 291568 413151
2 Gremio Novorizontino 291487 492750
3 EC Juventude 281486 301750
4 Fortaleza 281396 312348
5 Criciuma 281387 282547
6 Atletico GO 2912107 362746
7 CRB 281369 424045
8 Operario PR 281288 393644
9 Sao Bernardo SP 2911810 403141
10 Sport Recife 2810117 372841
11 Athletic Club MG 2810108 333040
12 Cuiaba 289136 272240
13 Goias 2811611 283439
14 Nautico 2810810 353338
15 Ceara 299812 313735
16 Botafogo SP 288713 313531
17 Avai 288614 293630
18 Londrina 287714 383928
19 America MG 294520 214917
20 Ponte Preta 282422 166210

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPonte PretaCRB
Sport Recife 0-2 L 2-1 W
America MG 0-2 L 3-1 W
Avai 0-2 L 1-0 W
Vila Nova 0-6 L 2-0 W
Ceara 0-2 L 1-0 W
Athletic Club MG 1-1 D 2-0 W
Operario PR 2-3 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 6 L 6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CRB (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ponte Preta

LDLDLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Londrina
Brazil Serie B
0-3 0-6 03 L
11/09 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-2 0-2 34 L
06/09 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 25 L
30/08 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-2 21 L
23/08 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-2 65 L
20/08 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-3 0-6 43 L
15/08 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 69 D
08/08 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 26 L
29/07 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 19 D
23/07 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-3 66 L

CRB

WWWDWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 56 W
10/09 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-2 0-3 64 L
05/09 America MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 3-1 64 W
30/08 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-1 24 W
26/08 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-2 82 L
21/08 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 73 W
16/08 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 64 D
12/08 Avai
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 24 W
28/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-0 62 W
23/07 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ponte Preta vs CRB?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CRB win (72%). Probabilities: Ponte Preta 10%, draw 18%, CRB 72%.

How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs CRB?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Ponte Preta 0.71 · CRB 2.24), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs CRB?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.