Football · Brazil Serie B · 30/08, 23:00

Prediction: CRB vs Criciuma

Team pages: CRB · Criciuma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

CRB1.14

Criciuma0.87

1X2

42% 31% 27%

CRB Draw Criciuma

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CRB 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWDWL

Criciuma 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLWDL

Head-to-head

CRB 1–1–4 Criciuma (6 last)

Criciuma3-1CRB
Criciuma1-0CRB
CRB1-0Criciuma
CRB0-1Criciuma
Criciuma2-1CRB
CRB0-0Criciuma

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CRB 1535 · Criciuma 1548

	CRB	Draw	Criciuma
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	42%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Criciuma: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CRB	Criciuma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	0.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.7	3.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.29
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.77 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 5.1% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +9’	2.25	3.10	3.25
22:30 +19’	2.20▼	3.10	3.30▲
03:33 +1’	2.20	3.20▲	3.40▲
09:56 +16’	2.25▲	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:34	2.33	2.70	3.75
02:41	2.37▲	2.72▲	3.78▲
04:37	2.37	2.71▼	3.77▼
22:49	2.28▼	2.82▲	3.80▲
23:06	2.29▲	2.84▲	3.77▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CRB 1–1–4 Criciuma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	3-1 HT 2-0	CRB
21/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	CRB
18/05/25 Brazil Serie B	CRB	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
21/10/23 Brazil Serie B	CRB	0-1 HT 0-0	Criciuma
28/06/23 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	2-1 HT 2-0	CRB
27/08/22 Brazil Serie B	CRB	0-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	24	13	6	5	26	13	45
2	Criciuma	24	12	8	4	25	17	44
3	Vila Nova	24	12	5	7	35	25	41
4	Gremio Novorizontino	24	11	7	6	39	21	40
5	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
6	Sport Recife	24	9	11	4	32	22	38
7	CRB	24	10	6	8	35	34	36
8	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
9	Atletico GO	24	9	9	6	27	23	36
10	Athletic Club MG	24	8	10	6	25	25	34
11	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	24	8	8	8	33	27	32
14	Botafogo SP	24	8	7	9	28	26	31
15	Nautico	24	8	7	9	28	27	31
16	Avai	24	8	5	11	27	30	29
17	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	24	2	5	17	16	42	11
20	Ponte Preta	24	2	4	18	16	50	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CRB	Criciuma
Athletic Club MG	2-0 W	0-2 L
Gremio Novorizontino	0-0 D	1-0 W
Vila Nova	2-0 W	2-0 W
Nautico	2-1 W	0-0 D
Goias	2-2 D	1-0 W
Botafogo SP	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CRB (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CRB

WLDWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	8	2	L
21/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
16/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
12/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
28/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
23/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
13/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
04/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-5	11	6	L
01/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	6	4	W

Criciuma

WWWWWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
20/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
15/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
09/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
26/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
09/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
04/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
27/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CRB vs Criciuma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CRB win (42%). Probabilities: CRB 42%, draw 31%, Criciuma 27%.

How many goals are expected in CRB vs Criciuma?

The model expects 2 goals (CRB 1.14 · Criciuma 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CRB vs Criciuma?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.