Football · Brazil Serie B · 29/08, 01:30

Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino vs Sport Recife

Team pages: Gremio Novorizontino · Sport Recife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Gremio Novorizontino1.52

Sport Recife1.08

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Gremio Novorizontino Draw Sport Recife

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gremio Novorizontino 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLDWW

Sport Recife 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Gremio Novorizontino 1–1–4 Sport Recife (6 last)

Sport Recife1-0Gremio Novorizontino
Gremio Novorizontino1-3Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-2Gremio Novorizontino
Sport Recife1-0Gremio Novorizontino
Gremio Novorizontino0-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-0Gremio Novorizontino

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sport Recife: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gremio Novorizontino	Sport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.9	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68
X	3.44 → 3.44	Pinn 3.44
2	5.79 → 5.79	Pinn 5.79

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:07	1.68	3.44	5.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Novorizontino 1–1–4 Sport Recife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-0 HT 0-0	Gremio Novorizontino
11/10/24 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	1-3 HT 0-2	Sport Recife
25/06/24 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-2 HT 0-2	Gremio Novorizontino
05/08/23 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-0 HT 0-0	Gremio Novorizontino
30/04/23 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Recife
31/08/22 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-0 HT 0-0	Gremio Novorizontino

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	24	12	8	4	25	17	44
2	EC Juventude	23	12	6	5	24	12	42
3	Vila Nova	24	12	5	7	35	25	41
4	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
5	Gremio Novorizontino	23	10	7	6	35	20	37
6	CRB	23	10	6	7	34	32	36
7	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
8	Sport Recife	23	8	11	4	29	22	35
9	Athletic Club MG	23	8	10	5	24	21	34
10	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
11	Atletico GO	23	8	9	6	24	23	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	24	8	8	8	33	27	32
14	Botafogo SP	23	8	7	8	28	23	31
15	Nautico	24	8	7	9	28	27	31
16	Avai	24	8	5	11	27	30	29
17	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	23	2	5	16	16	39	11
20	Ponte Preta	24	2	4	18	16	50	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gremio Novorizontino	Sport Recife
America MG	3-0 W	3-0 W
Londrina	4-1 W	2-1 W
Criciuma	0-1 L	0-1 L
Fortaleza	0-1 L	1-2 L
Operario PR	1-2 L	2-2 D
Vila Nova	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gremio Novorizontino

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
21/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	13	5	W
16/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
09/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
26/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	3-1	4-1	10	3	W
22/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
12/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
04/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
27/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	6	4	W

Sport Recife

LLDDDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
20/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
15/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
23/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
18/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
11/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	3-3	7	7	D
04/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
28/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gremio Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Novorizontino win (46%). Probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino 46%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 26%.

How many goals are expected in Gremio Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Gremio Novorizontino 1.52 · Sport Recife 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gremio Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.