Prediction: America MG vs Ponte Preta
Team pages: America MG · Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-0America MG
- Ponte Preta0-2America MG
- America MG2-0Ponte Preta
- America MG1-1Ponte Preta
- America MG3-1Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta2-2America MG
| America MG | Draw | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 16% | 4% |
| Market | 81% | 13% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours America MG: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America MG | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America MG 3–2–1 Ponte Preta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America MG |
| 25/09/24 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 0-2 HT 0-1 | America MG |
| 09/06/24 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 07/11/20 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 23/09/20 Copa do Brasil | America MG | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 17/09/20 Copa do Brasil | Ponte Preta | 2-2 HT 1-1 | America MG |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 21 | 40 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Operario PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 36 |
| 10 | Athletic Club MG | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
| 11 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 33 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo SP | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 31 |
| 15 | Nautico | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 28 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
| 19 | America MG | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 42 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America MG | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club MG | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Goias | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Avai | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Ceara | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Operario PR | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: America MG (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America MG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 08/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 23/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America MG vs Ponte Preta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America MG win (80%). Probabilities: America MG 80%, draw 15%, Ponte Preta 5%.
How many goals are expected in America MG vs Ponte Preta?
The model expects 2.7 goals (America MG 2.3 · Ponte Preta 0.4), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in America MG vs Ponte Preta?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.