Football · Brazil Serie B · 15/08, 23:30

Prediction: EC Juventude vs Fortaleza

Team pages: EC Juventude · Fortaleza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

EC Juventude1.35

Fortaleza0.79

1X2

49% 31% 21%

EC Juventude Draw Fortaleza

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

EC Juventude 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDLW

Fortaleza 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

EC Juventude 0–1–5 Fortaleza (6 last)

Fortaleza2-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-2Fortaleza
Fortaleza5-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude0-3Fortaleza
Fortaleza2-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-1Fortaleza

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fortaleza: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Juventude	Fortaleza
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.5	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	3.1 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.91

Under 21.91

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.20
X	2.97 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.00
2	3.70 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.75

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:47 +1’	2.18	2.97	3.70
00:37	2.20▲	3.00▲	3.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude 0–1–5 Fortaleza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Fortaleza	2-1 HT 2-0	EC Juventude
05/10/25 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-2 HT 1-0	Fortaleza
10/05/25 Brazil Serie A	Fortaleza	5-0 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
02/11/24 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	0-3 HT 0-2	Fortaleza
30/06/24 Brazil Serie A	Fortaleza	2-1 HT 2-0	EC Juventude
18/09/22 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	1-1 HT 0-1	Fortaleza

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	21	11	7	3	23	14	40
2	EC Juventude	21	11	5	5	23	12	38
3	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
4	Fortaleza	20	10	4	6	23	19	34
5	Vila Nova	21	10	4	7	27	25	34
6	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
7	Atletico GO	21	8	8	5	24	21	32
8	Sport Recife	21	7	11	3	26	19	32
9	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
10	Sao Bernardo SP	21	8	6	7	31	24	30
11	CRB	20	8	5	7	31	32	29
12	Goias	20	8	5	7	21	26	29
13	Botafogo SP	21	7	6	8	26	22	27
14	Nautico	21	7	5	9	25	25	26
15	Ceara	21	6	7	8	22	25	25
16	Cuiaba	20	5	10	5	15	15	25
17	Londrina	20	5	5	10	27	31	20
18	Avai	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	21	2	3	16	15	41	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Juventude	Fortaleza
Gremio Novorizontino	1-0 W	1-0 W
Botafogo SP	2-4 L	1-0 W
Vila Nova	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

EC Juventude

WWDWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
05/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/08	Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	4	L
18/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
11/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
28/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
21/06	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

Fortaleza

LDWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Palmeiras Copa do Brasil	2-1	3-2	6	1	W
02/08	Palmeiras Copa do Brasil	0-0	0-3	7	3	L
29/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
22/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
12/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	7	L
03/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
28/06	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
21/06	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
17/06	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude vs Fortaleza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Juventude win (49%). Probabilities: EC Juventude 49%, draw 31%, Fortaleza 21%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude vs Fortaleza?

The model expects 2.14 goals (EC Juventude 1.35 · Fortaleza 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude vs Fortaleza?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.