Football · Brazil Serie B · 29/08, 01:30

Prediction: Nautico vs Athletic Club MG

Team pages: Nautico · Athletic Club MG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Nautico1.19

Athletic Club MG0.75

1X2

45% 33% 22%

Nautico Draw Athletic Club MG

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Nautico 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDDDWD

Athletic Club MG 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Nautico 1–1–0 Athletic Club MG (2 last)

Athletic Club MG0-1Nautico
Nautico2-2Athletic Club MG

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nautico	Athletic Club MG
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.9	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.06	Pinn 2.06
X	3.15 → 3.15	Pinn 3.15
2	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:07	2.06	3.15	3.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 1–1–0 Athletic Club MG

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	0-1 HT 0-0	Nautico
22/07/24 Brazil Serie C	Nautico	2-2 HT 0-1	Athletic Club MG

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	24	12	8	4	25	17	44
2	EC Juventude	23	12	6	5	24	12	42
3	Vila Nova	24	12	5	7	35	25	41
4	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
5	Gremio Novorizontino	23	10	7	6	35	20	37
6	CRB	23	10	6	7	34	32	36
7	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
8	Sport Recife	23	8	11	4	29	22	35
9	Athletic Club MG	23	8	10	5	24	21	34
10	Goias	24	9	6	9	23	29	33
11	Atletico GO	23	8	9	6	24	23	33
12	Cuiaba	24	7	12	5	21	18	33
13	Sao Bernardo SP	24	8	8	8	33	27	32
14	Botafogo SP	23	8	7	8	28	23	31
15	Nautico	24	8	7	9	28	27	31
16	Avai	24	8	5	11	27	30	29
17	Ceara	24	7	7	10	25	30	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	23	2	5	16	16	39	11
20	Ponte Preta	24	2	4	18	16	50	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nautico	Athletic Club MG
Sao Bernardo SP	1-1 D	2-1 W
Ceara	1-0 W	0-0 D
Ponte Preta	1-1 D	1-1 D
Atletico GO	1-1 D	0-0 D
Criciuma	0-0 D	2-0 W
CRB	1-2 L	0-2 L
Avai	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athletic Club MG (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nautico

LDLLWDDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
19/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
15/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
09/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
26/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
17/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
12/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
06/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Athletic Club MG

WLDDWDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-4	9	3	L
21/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
16/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
09/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
24/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
18/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
14/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
08/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
28/06	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nautico vs Athletic Club MG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nautico win (45%). Probabilities: Nautico 45%, draw 33%, Athletic Club MG 22%.

How many goals are expected in Nautico vs Athletic Club MG?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Nautico 1.19 · Athletic Club MG 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nautico vs Athletic Club MG?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.