Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/09, 21:00
Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai
Team pages: Gremio Novorizontino · Avai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Gremio Novorizontino1.56
Avai1.19
1X2
Gremio Novorizontino
Draw
Avai
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gremio Novorizontino
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Avai
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gremio Novorizontino
2–3–1
Avai
(6 last)
- Avai3-3Gremio Novorizontino
- Gremio Novorizontino1-2Avai
- Gremio Novorizontino1-1Avai
- Avai1-1Gremio Novorizontino
- Gremio Novorizontino2-0Avai
- Avai0-1Gremio Novorizontino
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gremio Novorizontino: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio Novorizontino | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Novorizontino 2–3–1 Avai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 30/04/26 Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste | Gremio Novorizontino | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Avai |
| 03/08/25 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Avai |
| 07/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 23/10/24 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Avai |
| 09/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gremio Novorizontino |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 44 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 22 | 43 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | CRB | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 39 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 9 | Operario PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 10 | Goias | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 36 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 36 |
| 12 | Nautico | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 34 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo SP | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 28 | 31 |
| 16 | Avai | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 17 | Ceara | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
| 19 | America MG | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 42 | 14 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gremio Novorizontino | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| America MG | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CRB | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| EC Juventude | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Operario PR | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Atletico GO | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gremio Novorizontino (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio Novorizontino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Novorizontino win (45%). Probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino 45%, draw 27%, Avai 28%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Gremio Novorizontino 1.56 · Avai 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio Novorizontino vs Avai?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.