Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/07, 21:00
Prediction: Criciuma vs Nautico
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Criciuma1.81
Nautico0.38
1X2
Criciuma
Draw
Nautico
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Criciuma
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Nautico
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criciuma
4–2–0
Nautico
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1601 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Criciuma: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criciuma | Nautico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 3.1 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 4–2–0 Nautico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
| 08/10/22 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Nautico |
| 30/06/22 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Criciuma |
| 14/11/17 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nautico |
| 30/07/17 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
| 20/08/16 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Operario PR | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 35 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 31 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 29 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 28 |
| 9 | Sao Bernardo SP | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 32 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 25 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 24 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 20 |
| 17 | Avai | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceara | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 19 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 38 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 31 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criciuma | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio Novorizontino | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vila Nova | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Sport Recife | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Londrina | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Avai | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Criciuma (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criciuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Nautico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criciuma vs Nautico?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criciuma win (72%). Probabilities: Criciuma 72%, draw 22%, Nautico 6%.
How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs Nautico?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Criciuma 1.81 · Nautico 0.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Nautico?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.