Prediction: Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP4-0Fortaleza
| Fortaleza | Draw | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botafogo SP (rating 1492 vs 1536).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.4 | 2.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 0–0–1 Botafogo SP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Fortaleza |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Operario PR | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 35 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 31 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 28 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 28 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo SP | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 27 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 12 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 32 | 26 |
| 13 | Nautico | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 24 |
| 16 | Londrina | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 20 |
| 17 | Avai | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 20 |
| 18 | Ceara | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 19 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 38 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 31 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sport Recife | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| CRB | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortaleza (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Botafogo SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/07 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (54%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 54%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 18%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Fortaleza 1.45 · Botafogo SP 0.73), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.