Football · Brazil Serie B · 10/09, 00:30
Prediction: Fortaleza vs Avai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Fortaleza1.34
Avai0.72
1X2
Fortaleza
Draw
Avai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Avai
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza
4–1–1
Avai
(6 last)
- Avai0-0Fortaleza
- Fortaleza2-0Avai
- Avai3-2Fortaleza
- Avai1-3Fortaleza
- Fortaleza2-0Avai
- Avai0-1Fortaleza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fortaleza: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 4–1–1 Avai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 09/10/22 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Avai |
| 17/06/22 Brazil Serie A | Avai | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fortaleza |
| 30/10/19 Brazil Serie A | Avai | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Fortaleza |
| 13/07/19 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 10/11/18 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 23 | 46 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 44 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 44 |
| 6 | CRB | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 40 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 26 | 38 |
| 9 | Nautico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 28 | 37 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 37 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 37 |
| 12 | Goias | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 36 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 36 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo SP | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 32 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 31 |
| 16 | Ceara | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 34 | 29 |
| 18 | Londrina | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 22 |
| 19 | America MG | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 45 | 14 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Operario PR | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| EC Juventude | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Atletico GO | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortaleza (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Avai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (51%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 51%, draw 31%, Avai 19%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Avai?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Fortaleza 1.34 · Avai 0.72), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Avai?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.