Football · Brazil Serie B · 19/09, 21:30

Prediction: Sport Recife vs EC Juventude

Team pages: Sport Recife · EC Juventude

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Sport Recife1.14

EC Juventude0.91

1X2

40% 33% 28%

Sport Recife Draw EC Juventude

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Recife 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWWLWLLW

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWDDWL

Head-to-head

Sport Recife 3–1–2 EC Juventude (6 last)

EC Juventude0-1Sport Recife
Sport Recife0-2EC Juventude
EC Juventude2-0Sport Recife
EC Juventude2-2Sport Recife
Sport Recife3-0EC Juventude
Sport Recife3-1EC Juventude

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sport Recife: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Recife	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.76

Under 22.04

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.24 → 2.24	Pinn 2.24
X	3.07 → 3.07	Pinn 3.07
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:16 +42’	2.24	3.07	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Recife 3–1–2 EC Juventude

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	0-1 HT 0-0	Sport Recife
05/11/25 Brazil Serie A	Sport Recife	0-2 HT 0-1	EC Juventude
15/07/25 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	2-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
17/10/23 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	2-2 HT 1-1	Sport Recife
23/06/23 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	3-0 HT 2-0	EC Juventude
07/10/21 Brazil Serie A	Sport Recife	3-1 HT 1-0	EC Juventude

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gremio Novorizontino	28	14	8	6	48	25	50
2	EC Juventude	28	14	8	6	30	17	50
3	Vila Nova	28	14	6	8	40	31	48
4	Fortaleza	28	13	9	6	31	23	48
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	47
6	Atletico GO	28	12	10	6	36	26	46
7	Operario PR	27	12	7	8	36	33	43
8	CRB	27	12	6	9	40	39	42
9	Sport Recife	27	10	11	6	36	26	41
10	Athletic Club MG	28	10	10	8	33	30	40
11	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	40
12	Goias	28	11	6	11	28	34	39
13	Sao Bernardo SP	28	10	8	10	39	31	38
14	Nautico	27	10	7	10	32	30	37
15	Ceara	28	8	8	12	29	36	32
16	Botafogo SP	28	8	7	13	31	35	31
17	Avai	28	8	6	14	29	36	30
18	Londrina	27	6	7	14	32	39	25
19	America MG	28	4	5	19	21	48	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	2	4	21	16	56	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Recife	EC Juventude
Gremio Novorizontino	1-2 L	1-0 W
Avai	1-2 L	1-0 W
Londrina	2-1 W	0-0 D
Goias	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: EC Juventude (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Recife

DDDWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
05/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
20/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
15/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
28/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
23/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
18/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	7	8	D

EC Juventude

LWWDWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
02/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
26/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-2	2-4	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Recife vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife win (40%). Probabilities: Sport Recife 40%, draw 33%, EC Juventude 28%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Sport Recife 1.14 · EC Juventude 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.