Football · Brazil Serie B · 19/09, 02:00

Prediction: Sao Bernardo SP vs Atletico GO

Team pages: Sao Bernardo SP · Atletico GO

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Sao Bernardo SP1.16

Atletico GO1.22

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Sao Bernardo SP Draw Atletico GO

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sao Bernardo SP 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDDLWL

Atletico GO 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWDWW

Head-to-head

Sao Bernardo SP 1–0 Atletico GO (1 last)

Atletico GO0-1Sao Bernardo SP

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico GO (rating 1488 vs 1551).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sao Bernardo SP	Atletico GO
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 7.3	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.51 → 2.51	Pinn 2.51
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:41 +36’	2.51	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Bernardo SP 1–0–0 Atletico GO

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	0-1 HT 0-0	Sao Bernardo SP

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gremio Novorizontino	28	14	8	6	48	25	50
2	EC Juventude	28	14	8	6	30	17	50
3	Fortaleza	28	13	9	6	31	23	48
4	Vila Nova	27	14	5	8	39	30	47
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	47
6	Atletico GO	28	12	10	6	36	26	46
7	Operario PR	27	12	7	8	36	33	43
8	CRB	27	12	6	9	40	39	42
9	Sport Recife	27	10	11	6	36	26	41
10	Athletic Club MG	28	10	10	8	33	30	40
11	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	40
12	Nautico	27	10	7	10	32	30	37
13	Goias	27	10	6	11	25	33	36
14	Sao Bernardo SP	27	9	8	10	37	31	35
15	Ceara	28	8	8	12	29	36	32
16	Botafogo SP	27	8	7	12	30	32	31
17	Avai	27	8	5	14	28	35	29
18	Londrina	27	6	7	14	32	39	25
19	America MG	27	4	5	18	21	46	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	2	4	21	16	56	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sao Bernardo SP	Atletico GO
Londrina	1-2 L	0-0 D
Nautico	1-1 D	1-1 D
Botafogo SP	0-1 L	3-0 W
Operario PR	3-1 W	3-1 W
Ceara	3-4 L	2-1 W
Avai	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico GO (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Bernardo SP

DLLWLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
29/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
23/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
20/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
15/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
08/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-4	10	3	L
24/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
18/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	9	5	D

Atletico GO

WWDLDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
30/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
19/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
09/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
28/07	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
24/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Bernardo SP vs Atletico GO?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico GO win (36%). Probabilities: Sao Bernardo SP 34%, draw 30%, Atletico GO 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Bernardo SP vs Atletico GO?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Sao Bernardo SP 1.16 · Atletico GO 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Bernardo SP vs Atletico GO?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.