Football · Brazil Serie B · 23/07, 01:30
Prediction: Goias vs Sport Recife
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Goias1.46
Sport Recife0.82
1X2
Goias
Draw
Sport Recife
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Goias
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Sport Recife
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Goias
3–1–2
Sport Recife
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goias (rating 1519 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Goias: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Goias | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.3 | 2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 3–1–2 Sport Recife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/24 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Goias |
| 01/06/24 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| 26/12/20 Brazil Serie A | Goias | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| 07/09/20 Brazil Serie A | Sport Recife | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Goias |
| 11/09/15 Brazil Serie A | Goias | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Recife |
| 05/06/15 Brazil Serie A | Sport Recife | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Goias |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 24 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 23 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 20 |
| 17 | Ceara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | Avai | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Goias | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Nautico | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Operario PR | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Athletic Club MG | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico GO | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Botafogo SP | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goias
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 11/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Sport Recife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goias vs Sport Recife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Goias win (51%). Probabilities: Goias 51%, draw 29%, Sport Recife 20%.
How many goals are expected in Goias vs Sport Recife?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Goias 1.46 · Sport Recife 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Goias vs Sport Recife?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.