Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/09, 01:30

Prediction: Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova

Team pages: Athletic Club MG · Vila Nova

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Athletic Club MG1.12
Vila Nova1
1X2
37% 32% 31%
Athletic Club MG Draw Vila Nova
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Athletic Club MG 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWWLLL
Vila Nova 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWWDW
Head-to-head
Athletic Club MG 0–2–1 Vila Nova (3 last)
  • Vila Nova1-1Athletic Club MG
  • Vila Nova1-1Athletic Club MG
  • Athletic Club MG0-1Vila Nova
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Athletic Club MGVila Nova
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 42.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Club MG 021 Vila Nova

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/05/26
Brazil Serie B
Vila Nova1-1
HT 0-0
Athletic Club MG
09/09/25
Brazil Serie B
Vila Nova1-1
HT 1-0
Athletic Club MG
07/05/25
Brazil Serie B
Athletic Club MG0-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EC Juventude 241365 261345
2 Vila Nova 251357 372544
3 Criciuma 251285 261944
4 Gremio Novorizontino 251276 412243
5 Fortaleza 241176 272140
6 CRB 251168 373539
7 Atletico GO 251096 282339
8 Sport Recife 259115 332438
9 Operario PR 241068 303136
10 Goias 251069 253036
11 Cuiaba 258125 231936
12 Nautico 25979 302834
13 Athletic Club MG 258107 262734
14 Sao Bernardo SP 25889 342932
15 Botafogo SP 258710 292831
16 Avai 258512 273129
17 Ceara 257711 253228
18 Londrina 245613 293621
19 America MG 253517 184214
20 Ponte Preta 252419 165210

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAthletic Club MGVila Nova
CRB 0-2 L 0-2 L
Criciuma 2-0 W 0-2 L
Ponte Preta 1-1 D 6-0 W
Sao Bernardo SP 2-1 W 2-1 W
Atletico GO 0-0 D 2-0 W
Ceara 0-0 D 2-0 W
Operario PR 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vila Nova (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athletic Club MG

LDDWDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-2 23 L
25/08 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-4 93 L
21/08 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 23 L
16/08 America MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 3-1 43 W
09/08 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 54 W
29/07 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 19 D
24/07 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-1 24 W
18/07 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 16 D
14/07 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 65 D
08/07 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 84 L

Vila Nova

WLLWLLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 55 W
23/08 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 75 D
20/08 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
3-0 6-0 93 W
15/08 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 36 W
08/08 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 156 L
28/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-2 0-2 52 L
22/07 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-1 44 W
18/07 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 28 L
11/07 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 25 L
07/07 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Club MG win (37%). Probabilities: Athletic Club MG 37%, draw 32%, Vila Nova 31%.

How many goals are expected in Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Athletic Club MG 1.12 · Vila Nova 1), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.