Football · Brazil Serie B · 13/09, 21:00

Prediction: Atletico GO vs Criciuma

Team pages: Atletico GO · Criciuma

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Atletico GO1.13
Criciuma0.81
1X2
43% 31% 26%
Atletico GO Draw Criciuma
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico GO 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDLDWWDW
Criciuma 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLWDLLWL
Head-to-head
Atletico GO 1–1–4 Criciuma (6 last)
  • Criciuma1-1Atletico GO
  • Criciuma1-0Atletico GO
  • Atletico GO0-1Criciuma
  • Criciuma2-0Atletico GO
  • Atletico GO1-2Criciuma
  • Atletico GO3-1Criciuma
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico GO 1541 · Criciuma 1496
Atletico GODrawCriciuma
Our model42%34%25%
Market44%29%27%
Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico GO (rating 1541 vs 1496).
  • H2H favours Criciuma: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico GOCriciuma
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.70.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.83.3 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.14.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 114 Criciuma

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Brazil Serie B
Criciuma1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico GO
09/11/25
Brazil Serie B
Criciuma1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico GO
19/07/25
Brazil Serie B
Atletico GO0-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma
04/10/24
Brazil Serie A
Criciuma2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico GO
20/06/24
Brazil Serie A
Atletico GO1-2
HT 1-0
Criciuma
23/09/23
Brazil Serie B
Atletico GO3-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EC Juventude 271485 301550
2 Gremio Novorizontino 271476 472449
3 Vila Nova 271458 393047
4 Fortaleza 271386 302247
5 Criciuma 271386 282147
6 Operario PR 271278 363343
7 Atletico GO 2711106 322643
8 CRB 271269 403942
9 Sport Recife 2710116 362641
10 Cuiaba 279126 262139
11 Nautico 2710710 323037
12 Athletic Club MG 279108 313037
13 Goias 2710611 253336
14 Sao Bernardo SP 279810 373135
15 Botafogo SP 278712 303231
16 Ceara 278712 283531
17 Avai 278514 283529
18 Londrina 276714 323925
19 America MG 274518 214617
20 Ponte Preta 272421 165610

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico GOCriciuma
EC Juventude 2-2 D 0-2 L
Botafogo SP 3-0 W 1-1 D
Vila Nova 0-2 L 2-0 W
Nautico 1-1 D 0-0 D
Cuiaba 1-0 W 2-0 W
Athletic Club MG 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico GO (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

DWWDLDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
2-1 2-1 35 W
05/09 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
1-2 2-2 38 D
30/08 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 72 W
26/08 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
2-0 3-0 74 W
19/08 Londrina
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 52 D
15/08 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 156 L
09/08 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 56 D
28/07 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
2-1 3-1 33 W
24/07 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 26 W
18/07 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 86 D

Criciuma

WWDLWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/09 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-2 107 L
05/09 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 42 W
30/08 CRB
Brazil Serie B
1-1 1-2 64 L
23/08 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 103 L
20/08 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 83 D
15/08 Goias
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 97 W
09/08 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 64 L
26/07 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 74 D
22/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 74 W
18/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs Criciuma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (43%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 43%, draw 31%, Criciuma 26%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs Criciuma?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Atletico GO 1.13 · Criciuma 0.81), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs Criciuma?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.