Football · Brazil Serie B · 11/09, 00:30

Prediction: Vila Nova vs Goias

Team pages: Vila Nova · Goias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Vila Nova1.15

Goias0.85

1X2

41% 33% 25%

Vila Nova Draw Goias

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Vila Nova 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWDWL

Goias 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Vila Nova 2–2–2 Goias (6 last)

Goias1-0Vila Nova
Goias1-0Vila Nova
Vila Nova2-0Goias
Goias2-2Vila Nova
Vila Nova0-0Goias
Goias0-1Vila Nova

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vila Nova	Goias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.87

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.08▲	Pinn 2.08
X	3.12 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.10
2	4.09 → 3.95▼	Pinn 3.95

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:18 +42’	2.04	3.12	4.09
09:44 +65’	2.08▲	3.10▼	3.95▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vila Nova 2–2–2 Goias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Goias	1-0 HT 0-0	Vila Nova
01/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Goiano	Goias	1-0 HT 1-0	Vila Nova
16/08/25 Brazil Serie B	Vila Nova	2-0 HT 1-0	Goias
18/04/25 Brazil Serie B	Goias	2-2 HT 1-1	Vila Nova
16/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano	Vila Nova	0-0 HT 0-0	Goias
09/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano	Goias	0-1 HT 0-1	Vila Nova

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	26	13	8	5	28	15	47
2	Criciuma	26	13	8	5	28	19	47
3	Gremio Novorizontino	26	13	7	6	44	23	46
4	Vila Nova	26	13	5	8	37	30	44
5	Fortaleza	26	12	8	6	29	22	44
6	CRB	26	12	6	8	40	36	42
7	Atletico GO	26	10	10	6	30	25	40
8	Sport Recife	26	9	11	6	34	26	38
9	Nautico	26	10	7	9	31	28	37
10	Operario PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	37
11	Athletic Club MG	26	9	10	7	31	27	37
12	Goias	26	10	6	10	25	31	36
13	Cuiaba	26	8	12	6	23	21	36
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	7	11	29	29	31
16	Ceara	26	8	7	11	27	33	31
17	Avai	26	8	5	13	28	34	29
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	22
19	America MG	26	3	5	18	19	45	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vila Nova	Goias
Ponte Preta	6-0 W	2-1 W
Sport Recife	0-1 L	1-1 D
CRB	0-2 L	2-2 D
Fortaleza	2-1 W	0-1 L
Criciuma	0-2 L	0-1 L
EC Juventude	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Goias (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vila Nova

LLWLLWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-3	0-5	2	5	L
30/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
23/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
20/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	3-0	6-0	9	3	W
15/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
08/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	15	6	L
28/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
22/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
18/07	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
11/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	5	L

Goias

DWDLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
29/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
19/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
15/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
11/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
26/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
23/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
18/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-2	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vila Nova vs Goias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Nova win (41%). Probabilities: Vila Nova 41%, draw 33%, Goias 25%.

How many goals are expected in Vila Nova vs Goias?

The model expects 2 goals (Vila Nova 1.15 · Goias 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Goias?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.