Football · Brazil Serie B · 22/07, 00:30
Prediction: Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Gremio Novorizontino1.01
Criciuma1.03
1X2
Gremio Novorizontino
Draw
Criciuma
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gremio Novorizontino
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Criciuma
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gremio Novorizontino
3–2–1
Criciuma
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1526 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Gremio Novorizontino: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio Novorizontino | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Novorizontino 3–2–1 Criciuma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 22/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Criciuma |
| 25/11/23 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Criciuma |
| 22/07/23 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
| 14/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Criciuma |
| 01/05/22 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gremio Novorizontino |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 24 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 23 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 20 |
| 17 | Ceara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | Avai | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gremio Novorizontino | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Operario PR | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico GO | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vila Nova | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Ceara | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio Novorizontino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Criciuma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Criciuma win (34%). Probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino 33%, draw 33%, Criciuma 34%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Gremio Novorizontino 1.01 · Criciuma 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.