Football · Brazil Serie B · 15/08, 00:30
Prediction: Ponte Preta vs Nautico
Team pages: Ponte Preta · Nautico
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Ponte Preta1.15
Nautico1.19
1X2
Ponte Preta
Draw
Nautico
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ponte Preta
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Nautico
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ponte Preta
4–1–1
Nautico
(6 last)
- Nautico1-0Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-1Nautico
- Nautico0-1Ponte Preta
- Nautico0-1Ponte Preta
- Nautico0-1Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-0Nautico
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nautico (rating 1395 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Ponte Preta: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ponte Preta | Nautico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponte Preta 4–1–1 Nautico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 27/09/25 Brazil Serie C | Ponte Preta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nautico |
| 20/09/25 Brazil Serie C | Nautico | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ponte Preta |
| 24/05/25 Brazil Serie C | Nautico | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 05/11/22 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 21/07/22 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nautico |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | Vila Nova | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 34 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 33 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 32 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 9 | Sao Bernardo SP | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 11 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 29 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 28 |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 15 | Ceara | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 25 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ponte Preta | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Goias | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Criciuma | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Fortaleza | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico GO | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| EC Juventude | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nautico (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 23/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Nautico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ponte Preta vs Nautico?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nautico win (35%). Probabilities: Ponte Preta 34%, draw 31%, Nautico 35%.
How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs Nautico?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Ponte Preta 1.15 · Nautico 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Nautico?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.