Football · Brazil Serie B · 23/07, 00:30
Prediction: Operario PR vs Ponte Preta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Operario PR2.34
Ponte Preta0.92
1X2
Operario PR
Draw
Ponte Preta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Operario PR
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Ponte Preta
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Operario PR
2–2–2
Ponte Preta
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Operario PR (rating 1543 vs 1385).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Operario PR | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 3.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 2–2–2 Ponte Preta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/24 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Operario PR |
| 11/05/24 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 31/07/22 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Operario PR |
| 16/04/22 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 23/09/21 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Ponte Preta |
| 23/06/21 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Operario PR |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 3 | Operario PR | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Gremio Novorizontino | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club MG | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 24 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 23 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 20 |
| 17 | Ceara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | Avai | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Operario PR | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio Novorizontino | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Botafogo SP | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| EC Juventude | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Criciuma | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Operario PR (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Operario PR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 25/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Fluminense Copa do Brasil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Ponte Preta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (68%). Probabilities: Operario PR 68%, draw 19%, Ponte Preta 12%.
How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Ponte Preta?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Operario PR 2.34 · Ponte Preta 0.92), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Ponte Preta?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.