Football · Brazil Serie B · 23/07, 02:30

Prediction: Nautico vs Londrina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Nautico1.39

Londrina1.3

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Nautico Draw Londrina

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nautico 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLDLL

Londrina 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWDWDD

Head-to-head

Nautico 1–1–4 Londrina (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Londrina (rating 1463 vs 1505).
H2H favours Londrina: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nautico	Londrina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.4	2.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.03

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 06:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.75
X	3.64 → 3.66▲	Pinn 3.66
2	4.64 → 4.64	Pinn 4.64

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:31	1.72	3.64	4.64
03:27	1.68▼	3.78▲	5.01▲
04:22	1.71▲	3.72▼	4.81▼
06:20 +1’	1.75▲	3.66▼	4.64▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 1–1–4 Londrina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/25 Brazil Serie C	Londrina	0-2 HT 0-0	Nautico
24/08/24 Brazil Serie C	Londrina	3-2 HT 2-1	Nautico
23/07/22 Brazil Serie B	Nautico	1-2 HT 1-0	Londrina
10/04/22 Brazil Serie B	Londrina	2-0 HT 2-0	Nautico
22/09/21 Brazil Serie B	Nautico	1-2 HT 0-1	Londrina
23/06/21 Brazil Serie B	Londrina	0-0 HT 0-0	Nautico

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	17	9	6	2	20	12	33
2	Vila Nova	17	9	4	4	25	19	31
3	Operario PR	17	9	4	4	22	18	31
4	Gremio Novorizontino	17	8	6	3	28	16	30
5	EC Juventude	17	8	5	4	17	8	29
6	Fortaleza	17	8	4	5	20	17	28
7	Sao Bernardo SP	17	7	5	5	23	16	26
8	Sport Recife	17	6	8	3	21	15	26
9	Goias	17	7	4	6	18	23	25
10	Atletico GO	17	6	6	5	19	19	24
11	Cuiaba	17	5	9	3	14	11	24
12	CRB	18	6	5	7	28	32	23
13	Athletic Club MG	17	5	8	4	16	16	23
14	Nautico	18	6	3	9	22	23	21
15	Botafogo SP	17	5	5	7	20	18	20
16	Londrina	17	5	4	8	25	25	19
17	Ceara	17	4	6	7	15	20	18
18	Avai	17	4	4	9	18	24	16
19	Ponte Preta	17	2	2	13	11	33	8
20	America MG	17	1	4	12	11	28	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nautico	Londrina
CRB	1-2 L	5-0 W
Avai	0-2 L	3-2 W
Vila Nova	3-4 L	0-1 L
Fortaleza	0-1 L	0-3 L
Cuiaba	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nautico

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
12/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
06/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/06	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-4	3-4	10	4	L
15/06	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
10/06	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
31/05	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
23/05	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
16/05	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-1	6-2	5	5	W

Londrina

WLLLWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
14/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
04/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
26/06	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-2	0	7	D
20/06	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
16/06	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-2	10	4	W
06/06	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
31/05	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	2	12	L
23/05	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
19/05	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	4-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nautico vs Londrina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nautico win (38%). Probabilities: Nautico 38%, draw 28%, Londrina 34%.

How many goals are expected in Nautico vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Nautico 1.39 · Londrina 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nautico vs Londrina?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.