Football · Brazil Serie B · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: Ceara vs Londrina

Team pages: Ceara · Londrina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Ceara1.43
Londrina0.85
1X2
50% 28% 22%
Ceara Draw Londrina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ceara 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLWWLL
Londrina 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDWDDLLLLD
Head-to-head
Ceara 4–1–1 Londrina (6 last)
  • Londrina0-0Ceara
  • Ceara3-1Londrina
  • Londrina1-3Ceara
  • Londrina1-2Ceara
  • Londrina3-2Ceara
  • Ceara1-0Londrina
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceara 1447 · Londrina 1468
CearaDrawLondrina
Our model49%29%21%
Market50%27%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ceara: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CearaLondrina
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.72.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceara 411 Londrina

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Brazil Serie B
Londrina0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
07/09/23
Brazil Serie B
Ceara3-1
HT 3-1
Londrina
25/05/23
Brazil Serie B
Londrina1-3
HT 0-3
Ceara
21/02/18
Copa do Brasil
Londrina1-2
HT 1-0
Ceara
09/09/17
Brazil Serie B
Londrina3-2
HT 2-1
Ceara
03/06/17
Brazil Serie B
Ceara1-0
HT 0-0
Londrina

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Criciuma 231283 251544
2 EC Juventude 231265 241242
3 Vila Nova 231247 352540
4 Gremio Novorizontino 231076 352037
5 Fortaleza 231076 252137
6 CRB 231067 343236
7 Operario PR 231058 303135
8 Sport Recife 238114 292235
9 Athletic Club MG 238105 242134
10 Atletico GO 23896 242333
11 Goias 23959 222832
12 Cuiaba 237115 201732
13 Sao Bernardo SP 23878 322631
14 Botafogo SP 23878 282331
15 Nautico 23869 272630
16 Avai 237511 253026
17 Ceara 236710 232925
18 Londrina 235612 283421
19 America MG 232516 163911
20 Ponte Preta 232417 164810

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCearaLondrina
Nautico 0-1 L 1-2 L
Cuiaba 1-3 L 2-2 D
CRB 0-1 L 5-0 W
America MG 1-1 D 1-1 D
Athletic Club MG 0-0 D 2-0 W
Goias 0-2 L 0-1 L
Botafogo SP 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Londrina (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceara

LLLDDLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 37 L
15/08 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-3 43 L
08/08 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 36 W
26/07 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-1 4-3 33 W
23/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 77 L
18/07 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 56 D
14/07 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 75 D
05/07 Goias
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-2 143 L
28/06 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
0-2 0-2 41 L
21/06 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 74 L

Londrina

WDWDDLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 72 D
15/08 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
1-2 1-2 32 L
11/08 Goias
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-1 86 L
26/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
1-3 1-4 53 L
23/07 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 76 L
18/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 84 D
14/07 America MG
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 74 D
04/07 CRB
Brazil Serie B
2-0 5-0 24 W
26/06 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-2 07 D
20/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
0-0 2-0 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceara vs Londrina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceara win (50%). Probabilities: Ceara 50%, draw 28%, Londrina 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ceara vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Ceara 1.43 · Londrina 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceara vs Londrina?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.