Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/09, 21:30

Prediction: Operario PR vs Ceara

Team pages: Operario PR · Ceara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Operario PR1.62

Ceara1.26

1X2

45% 27% 29%

Operario PR Draw Ceara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Operario PR 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDDWWD

Ceara 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Operario PR 1–1–1 Ceara (3 last)

Ceara1-2Operario PR
Ceara2-1Operario PR
Operario PR0-0Ceara

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Operario PR	Ceara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.97

Under 2.251.83

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.13 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.34▲	Pinn 3.34
2	3.39 → 3.43▲	Pinn 3.43

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +31’	2.13	3.30	3.39
01:42 +32’	2.15▲	3.34▲	3.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 1–1–1 Ceara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	1-2 HT 1-0	Operario PR
08/09/24 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	2-1 HT 1-0	Operario PR
19/05/24 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	0-0 HT 0-0	Ceara

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	29	15	6	8	41	31	51
2	Fortaleza	29	14	9	6	33	24	51
3	Gremio Novorizontino	29	14	8	7	49	27	50
4	EC Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	50
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	47
6	Atletico GO	29	12	10	7	36	27	46
7	CRB	29	13	6	10	42	41	45
8	Operario PR	28	12	8	8	39	36	44
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	44
10	Cuiaba	29	10	13	6	30	22	43
11	Goias	29	12	6	11	30	35	42
12	Sao Bernardo SP	29	11	8	10	40	31	41
13	Athletic Club MG	29	10	11	8	34	31	41
14	Nautico	29	10	8	11	35	36	38
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	35
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	32
17	Avai	29	8	6	15	30	38	30
18	Londrina	29	7	7	15	39	41	28
19	America MG	29	4	5	20	21	49	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Operario PR	Ceara
Nautico	3-3 D	0-1 L
Londrina	2-1 W	2-1 W
Fortaleza	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vila Nova	0-0 D	0-2 L
Cuiaba	0-1 L	1-3 L
Sao Bernardo SP	1-3 L	4-3 W
Atletico GO	1-3 L	1-2 L
Ponte Preta	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Operario PR

WLLLLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
01/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
23/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
28/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
23/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-2	6	6	W

Ceara

WWLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
13/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
10/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
05/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
30/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
22/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
19/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
15/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
08/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
26/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	4-3	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Ceara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (45%). Probabilities: Operario PR 45%, draw 27%, Ceara 29%.

How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Ceara?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Operario PR 1.62 · Ceara 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Ceara?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.