Football · Brazil Serie B · 26/09, 01:30
Prediction: Vila Nova vs Londrina
Team pages: Vila Nova · Londrina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Vila Nova1.6
Londrina0.75
1X2
Vila Nova
Draw
Londrina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vila Nova
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Londrina
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vila Nova
3–2–1
Londrina
(6 last)
- Londrina0-1Vila Nova
- Vila Nova4-1Londrina
- Londrina1-0Vila Nova
- Vila Nova0-0Londrina
- Londrina2-2Vila Nova
- Vila Nova2-1Londrina
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vila Nova (rating 1541 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Vila Nova: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vila Nova | Londrina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vila Nova 3–2–1 Londrina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vila Nova |
| 10/11/23 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Londrina |
| 15/07/23 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vila Nova |
| 13/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Londrina |
| 30/04/22 Brazil Serie B | Londrina | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Vila Nova |
| 20/11/21 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Londrina |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 50 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo SP | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 41 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29 | 36 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 62 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vila Nova | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| Goias | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ceara | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Operario PR | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Ponte Preta | 6-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Atletico GO | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sport Recife | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vila Nova (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vila Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 6 | L |
| 28/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Londrina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 02/09 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Nova win (56%). Probabilities: Vila Nova 56%, draw 27%, Londrina 16%.
How many goals are expected in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Vila Nova 1.6 · Londrina 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.