Football · Brazil Serie B · 15/08, 00:30

Prediction: Sao Bernardo SP vs Botafogo SP

Team pages: Sao Bernardo SP · Botafogo SP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Sao Bernardo SP1.39

Botafogo SP1.26

1X2

39% 29% 33%

Sao Bernardo SP Draw Botafogo SP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sao Bernardo SP 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDLLW

Botafogo SP 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Sao Bernardo SP 4–1–1 Botafogo SP (6 last)

Botafogo SP1-2Sao Bernardo SP
Botafogo SP0-1Sao Bernardo SP
Sao Bernardo SP2-1Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP1-0Sao Bernardo SP
Botafogo SP1-1Sao Bernardo SP
Sao Bernardo SP1-0Botafogo SP

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sao Bernardo SP: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sao Bernardo SP	Botafogo SP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.94

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.30
X	3.03 → 3.03	Pinn 3.03
2	3.46 → 3.46	Pinn 3.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18	2.30	3.03	3.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Bernardo SP 4–1–1 Botafogo SP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	1-2 HT 1-0	Sao Bernardo SP
26/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista	Botafogo SP	0-1 HT 0-0	Sao Bernardo SP
19/02/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista	Sao Bernardo SP	2-1 HT 0-1	Botafogo SP
28/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Paulista	Botafogo SP	1-0 HT 1-0	Sao Bernardo SP
11/02/16 Brazil Campeonato Paulista	Botafogo SP	1-1 HT 1-0	Sao Bernardo SP
28/03/15 Brazil Campeonato Paulista	Sao Bernardo SP	1-0 HT 0-0	Botafogo SP

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criciuma	21	11	7	3	23	14	40
2	EC Juventude	21	11	5	5	23	12	38
3	Operario PR	21	10	5	6	29	28	35
4	Fortaleza	20	10	4	6	23	19	34
5	Vila Nova	21	10	4	7	27	25	34
6	Gremio Novorizontino	21	9	6	6	32	20	33
7	Atletico GO	21	8	8	5	24	21	32
8	Sport Recife	21	7	11	3	26	19	32
9	Athletic Club MG	21	7	10	4	21	18	31
10	Sao Bernardo SP	21	8	6	7	31	24	30
11	CRB	20	8	5	7	31	32	29
12	Goias	20	8	5	7	21	26	29
13	Botafogo SP	21	7	6	8	26	22	27
14	Nautico	21	7	5	9	25	25	26
15	Ceara	21	6	7	8	22	25	25
16	Cuiaba	20	5	10	5	15	15	25
17	Londrina	20	5	5	10	27	31	20
18	Avai	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
19	America MG	21	2	5	14	15	33	11
20	Ponte Preta	21	2	3	16	15	41	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sao Bernardo SP	Botafogo SP
Operario PR	3-1 W	2-1 W
Ceara	3-4 L	1-0 W
Avai	1-1 D	3-1 W
Vila Nova	1-2 L	0-1 L
EC Juventude	0-1 L	4-2 W
Sport Recife	0-0 D	3-3 D
CRB	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo SP (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Bernardo SP

WDLLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
26/07	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-4	10	3	L
24/07	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
18/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	9	5	D
12/07	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	2-2	2-2	6	4	D
07/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
27/06	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/06	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
14/06	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
07/06	CRB Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-2	0	7	W

Botafogo SP

LWWLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
24/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-2	4	4	W
18/07	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-3	2	7	D
07/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
01/07	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
21/06	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/06	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
09/06	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Bernardo SP vs Botafogo SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Bernardo SP win (39%). Probabilities: Sao Bernardo SP 39%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Bernardo SP vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Sao Bernardo SP 1.39 · Botafogo SP 1.26), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Bernardo SP vs Botafogo SP?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.