Football · Brazil Serie B · 22/08, 23:30
Prediction: Cuiaba vs Goias
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Cuiaba1.03
Goias0.78
1X2
Cuiaba
Draw
Goias
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cuiaba
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Goias
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cuiaba
2–1–3
Goias
(6 last)
- Goias0-2Cuiaba
- Cuiaba0-1Goias
- Goias3-1Cuiaba
- Cuiaba1-0Goias
- Goias1-0Cuiaba
- Cuiaba1-1Goias
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cuiaba 1507 · Goias 1489
| Cuiaba | Draw | Goias | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 38% | 37% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Goias: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cuiaba | Goias | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.3 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 2–1–3 Goias
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cuiaba |
| 08/11/25 Brazil Serie B | Cuiaba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Goias |
| 19/07/25 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 24/05/24 Copa do Brasil | Cuiaba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Goias |
| 03/05/24 Copa do Brasil | Goias | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 21/10/23 Brazil Serie A | Cuiaba | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Goias |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 40 |
| 4 | Gremio Novorizontino | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 37 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | CRB | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 36 |
| 7 | Operario PR | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 35 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Athletic Club MG | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 34 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 11 | Goias | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 32 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 32 |
| 13 | Sao Bernardo SP | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 31 |
| 15 | Nautico | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 30 |
| 16 | Avai | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 26 |
| 17 | Ceara | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 18 | Londrina | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 21 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 48 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cuiaba | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Operario PR | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Ceara | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sport Recife | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| EC Juventude | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| America MG | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Londrina | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cuiaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
Goias
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/08 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Goias?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (39%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 39%, draw 36%, Goias 25%.
How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Goias?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Cuiaba 1.03 · Goias 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Goias?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.