Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/09, 00:30

Prediction: Criciuma vs Cuiaba

Team pages: Criciuma · Cuiaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Criciuma1.07

Cuiaba0.87

1X2

39% 34% 28%

Criciuma Draw Cuiaba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Criciuma 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWDLL

Cuiaba 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDWWDW

Head-to-head

Criciuma 1–2–3 Cuiaba (6 last)

Cuiaba1-1Criciuma
Cuiaba1-0Criciuma
Criciuma1-0Cuiaba
Cuiaba2-1Criciuma
Criciuma2-5Cuiaba
Cuiaba0-0Criciuma

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cuiaba: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Criciuma	Cuiaba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.6	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.81

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.90
X	3.06 → 3.11▲	Pinn 3.11
2	4.65 → 4.77▲	Pinn 4.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +1’	1.93	3.06	4.65
12:17	1.90▼	3.11▲	4.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 1–2–3 Cuiaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	1-1 HT 1-0	Criciuma
23/11/25 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
30/07/25 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	Cuiaba
31/08/24 Brazil Serie A	Cuiaba	2-1 HT 0-1	Criciuma
09/06/24 Brazil Serie A	Criciuma	2-5 HT 0-3	Cuiaba
31/08/19 Brazil Serie B	Cuiaba	0-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	24	13	6	5	26	13	45
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	44
4	Gremio Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	43
5	Fortaleza	24	11	7	6	27	21	40
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	39
7	Atletico GO	25	10	9	6	28	23	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	38
9	Operario PR	24	10	6	8	30	31	36
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	36
12	Nautico	25	9	7	9	30	28	34
13	Athletic Club MG	25	8	10	7	26	27	34
14	Sao Bernardo SP	25	8	8	9	34	29	32
15	Botafogo SP	25	8	7	10	29	28	31
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	28
18	Londrina	24	5	6	13	29	36	21
19	America MG	25	3	5	17	18	42	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Criciuma	Cuiaba
Fortaleza	0-2 L	1-1 D
Botafogo SP	1-1 D	2-1 W
Goias	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sport Recife	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Criciuma

WWWWDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
20/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
15/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
09/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
26/07	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/07	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/07	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
09/07	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
04/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W

Cuiaba

WDLLDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
22/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
20/08	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
15/08	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
09/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
28/07	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
24/07	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
18/07	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/07	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	2-2	2-2	7	4	D
03/07	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Criciuma win (39%). Probabilities: Criciuma 39%, draw 34%, Cuiaba 28%.

How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Criciuma 1.07 · Cuiaba 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.